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Egypt Morsi

The attempt by Egyptian President Mohamed Morsi to rush through the new constitution while overriding the judiciary has sparked off violent confrontations between his supporters in the Muslim Brotherhood and non-Islamist activists, leading to at least five deaths in clashes outside the presidential palace on December 5.

Morsi has indicated that he intends to press ahead with plans to hold a referendum on the new constitution on December 15, despite the deep divisions in Egyptian society that his intervention in the constitutional process has caused. These divisions have extended to his own team of advisers, seven of whom have resigned in protest of the president’s measures. Zaghloul al-Balshi, the head of the committee set up to supervise the referendum, has also resigned.

The only concession Morsi has made thus far was contained in a statement by the vice-president, Mahmoud Mekki, who said that amendments to the constitution could be approved once a new parliament is elected. Morsi could offer some more concessions, for example withdrawing some of the articles in his November 22 constitutional declaration, which gave him sweeping powers. However, if he were to back down further, for example by revoking that declaration and postponing the referendum, he would risk a major loss of political credibility among his own supporters. Under the powers that he has assumed, Morsi could impose emergency security measures in an effort to enable the referendum to go ahead, but this would only serve to inflame further the anger within the opposition camp.

Morsi is likely to have calculated that he has a good chance of securing a large majority in favor of the constitution in the referendum, on the basis of his own support in the Muslim Brotherhood and other Islamist groups, the desire of neutrals for stability and the divisions in the opposition between those advocating a “no” vote and those calling for a boycott. However, any such victory would be tainted owing to the polarization of society that is clearly evident.

This post has been authored exclusively for MEV by The Economist Intelligence Unit

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The Economist Intelligence Unit

This post has been authored by experts of The Economist Intelligence Unit.

14 Comments

  1. Ali Baba

    December 13, 2012

    moersy does not care about Egyptian.he cares about muslim brotherhood thugs.

    Reply
  2. Alexander Stuy

    December 11, 2012

    Morsi will win by fraud. Egypt is screwed.

    Reply
  3. Sayed Ibrahim

    December 10, 2012

    mr.Mohamed Morsi
    go on
    all 90 million with u.

    Reply
    • Ali Baba

      January 10, 2013

      moresi go on until 90 million starve to death

      Reply
  4. Haytham Soliman

    December 10, 2012

    morsi is the most important man in the middel east so said time new…good luck mr morsi…….

    Reply
    • Ali Baba

      January 10, 2013

      moersi is the worst dictator in middle east

      Reply
  5. Karim Hegab

    December 9, 2012

    Dictator….

    Reply
  6. Indji F. Ahmed

    December 9, 2012

    What they r calling themselves islamists r not implemanting the islam,egyptian by nature r religious wether they christians or muslims..morsi's has to step down

    Reply
  7. Dave Jacobson

    December 8, 2012

    The Egyptian people are now under the ‘cruel’ governance of a totalitarian dictator.. Soon, the treaty of peace between Egypt & Israel, will become null & void..

    Reply
    • Ahmad Abdul-ghaffar

      December 15, 2012

      you are assuming it will pass morsi himself barely defeated one of the most hated men in egypt with brotherhood support I can’t his popularity has increased since I think it decreased it may have just decreased enough for the constitution to fail the coutch party has a nack for not voting at all which would make things interesting

      Reply
  8. محمود عبود

    December 8, 2012

    بجب مرسي وابويا بس.

    Reply
  9. Ak Azad

    December 8, 2012

    What happening in Egypt is a part of NATO's total plan to weaken anti Israel forces and to make Israel free from all hostile neighbors. The People and rulers must understand the game playing by Nato and US.

    Reply
    • Ali Baba

      January 10, 2013

      this is foolish analysis . moersi is fanatic and most Egyptian does not like him. There is nothing about nato

      Reply

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